Atl. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DPB
3 - 0
NAC
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 14 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
NAC
34%
31%
35%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 3
AMA
36%
29%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 1
NAC
64%
23%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
CHO
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
AVC
1 - 0
AFC
7%
14%
79%
|
64 | 13 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 1
AMA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 3
AFC
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
VER
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SFF
0 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |