Atl. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 1
NAC
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHO
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
GEM
3 - 1
NAC
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 1
NAC
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
ARA
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 0
AMA
39%
28%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 4
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VER
1 - 0
AFC
24%
29%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |