Atl. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
NAC
69%
21%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHO
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
TAU
27%
28%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
SFF
25%
28%
48%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
CHI
33%
25%
42%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
56%
25%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
TAU
40%
27%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 0
AFC
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
SMI
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
AFC
65%
23%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |