Atl. Nacional vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TAU
0 - 1
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 0
TAU
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 2
AFC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
AFC
35%
30%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 1
ARA
29%
29%
42%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |