Atl. Nacional vs Mario Méndez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
5 - 0
HFC
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 2
CDU
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VCD
0 - 1
NAC
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
IDC
1 - 1
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mario Méndez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AFM
0 - 2
ACE
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 28 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AFM
0 - 0
SAP
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
4 - 4
AFM
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 0
AFM
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFM
2 - 0
VCD
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |