Atl. Nacional vs Costa del Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1966%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
6 - 0
LSF
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 5 | 53 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AFM
0 - 0
NAC
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
NAC
10%
20%
70%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
VCD
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
CDB
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Costa del Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACE
2 - 0
HFC
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VCD
0 - 1
ACE
76%
16%
8%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
ACE
3 - 2
AFM
14%
21%
65%
|
15 | 55 | 40 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ACE
0 - 0
CDB
10%
15%
74%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CDU
0 - 2
ACE
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | +2 |