SD Alsasua U19 vs Peña Sport FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+538%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
13º
11º
24
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
72.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Alsasua U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ALS
1 - 2
CIR
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDM
5 - 0
ALS
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 1
CDA
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 3
ALS
30%
21%
49%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALS
0 - 1
LAG
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Sport FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
7 - 2
PEN
75%
15%
10%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 4
CDF
30%
22%
49%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDA
3 - 1
PEN
78%
13%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 5
OSA
7%
13%
79%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BEO
1 - 2
PEN
56%
20%
24%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |