Scunthorpe United vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
SCU
3 - 1
STF
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BRO
0 - 3
SCU
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
SCU
2 - 0
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
SCU
2 - 0
GRI
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
LEY
1 - 1
SCU
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 1
WRE
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
HUR
1 - 2
WRE
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
GUL
1 - 0
WRE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
WRE
1 - 3
BRI
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
HAY
0 - 4
WRE
11%
18%
71%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | +1 |