Scunthorpe United vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MKD
0 - 1
SCU
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BCF
2 - 1
SCU
42%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 1
WAL
31%
27%
42%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PNE
3 - 0
SCU
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 0
SCU
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
3 - 0
STE
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SWI
4 - 1
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 0
SWI
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 0
SWI
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
SWI
37%
28%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |