FA Cup 1/64
Global 2-2
Scunthorpe United vs Sheffield Wednesday analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
DAR
2 - 2
SCU
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SCU
4 - 0
CAM
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MAC
2 - 2
SCU
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SCU
2 - 1
STF
68%
18%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SCU
6 - 2
HUR
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
QPR
3 - 0
SHW
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SHW
0 - 0
LUT
46%
24%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
COL
3 - 1
SHW
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SHW
4 - 0
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SHW
0 - 1
BPO
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |