Scunthorpe United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SCU
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
SCU
0 - 0
SUN
22%
24%
55%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
SVA
0 - 6
SCU
10%
17%
73%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
YOR
2 - 2
SCU
16%
19%
65%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 6
SCU
12%
19%
69%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
COV
3 - 0
NOT
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
YOR
1 - 2
NOT
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 2
NTT
20%
23%
58%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
NOT
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NOT
1 - 0
BPO
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |