EFL Cup 1/32
Global 0-6
Scunthorpe United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SCU
1 - 1
DON
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
NOT
2 - 1
SCU
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1997 |
SCU
2 - 1
CHE
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SCU
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1997 |
SCU
2 - 1
SCA
67%
18%
15%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
DER
3 - 1
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 0
EVE
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1997 |
EVE
0 - 2
MUD
23%
24%
54%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
EVE
2 - 1
WHU
59%
23%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
EVE
1 - 2
CRY
65%
20%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |