Scunthorpe United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
OPA
2 - 1
SCU
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 2
SCU
43%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 2
NEW
44%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
SCU
3 - 1
MCI
43%
22%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 3
PLY
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
CRE
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
1 - 3
BAR
33%
23%
44%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
4 - 1
CUM
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |