Scunthorpe United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
SCU
2 - 1
ROC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
SCU
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
WOR
1 - 1
SCU
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SCU
2 - 1
CRE
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SCU
1 - 1
WOR
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 1
CHE
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
COV
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
POS
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 3
CHE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |