FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-0
Scunthorpe United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SCU
1 - 0
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
SCU
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
HUR
1 - 1
SCU
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
0 - 0
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCU
3 - 1
LEY
61%
22%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHE
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 0
SCU
33%
25%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 2
OLD
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 2
NTT
35%
27%
37%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |