FA Cup 1/1024
Global 1-3
Scunthorpe United vs Brackley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 2
BUX
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
3 - 1
SOU
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
2 - 2
SCU
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SCU
4 - 1
SCA
39%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CUR
1 - 0
SCU
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brackley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCA
2 - 1
BRA
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
2 - 2
BRA
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
WAR
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
SOU
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |