Scunthorpe United vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
DON
3 - 1
SCU
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SCU
2 - 0
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
HUR
1 - 4
SCU
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
HAR
3 - 3
SCU
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
SCU
1 - 0
SOU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
OPA
1 - 1
BIR
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
WBA
2 - 3
BIR
43%
28%
30%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BIR
0 - 3
MID
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BIR
1 - 2
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |