FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-0
Scunthorpe United vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scunthorpe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
BRO
1 - 0
SCU
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
SCU
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
SCU
0 - 1
BOS
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
DON
1 - 0
SCU
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
YEO
2 - 1
SCU
57%
22%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
0 - 0
SCU
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 1
CHE
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
HAR
1 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LUT
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |