Kilb vs Waidhofen / Thaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
15º
5º
11
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SVR
1 - 2
SCU
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 1
STP
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ZWE
1 - 1
SCU
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCU
1 - 0
STP
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WIE
0 - 4
SCU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Waidhofen / Thaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
WAI
0 - 4
SCO
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 0
WAI
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAI
0 - 2
LAN
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
5 - 0
WAI
77%
16%
8%
|
18 | 73 | 55 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
WAI
0 - 3
MKO
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |