Kilb vs Spratzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 2
ARD
20%
20%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
KOT
2 - 2
SCU
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 0
GAF
17%
18%
66%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 0
SCU
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 0
LAN
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spratzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
KRE
3 - 1
SPR
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
SPR
1 - 2
KOT
16%
22%
62%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SPR
0 - 2
SVS
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ZWE
3 - 3
SPR
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SPR
3 - 3
SVR
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |