Scrosoppi FC vs Simcoe County Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
1º
9
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
17 | 42 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 42 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 40 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 38 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 37 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 30 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 29 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 25 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 23 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 22 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 20 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 15 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
61% | 1% |
|
Play-offs
|
36% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scrosoppi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
GUE
1 - 5
SCR
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SCR
1 - 1
WOO
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SCR
4 - 2
NTN
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
OBD
0 - 5
SCR
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIG
0 - 2
SCR
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Simcoe County Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 1
GUE
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 2
BUR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SIG
0 - 0
SIM
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 3
WOO
65%
20%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 3
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |