Schwechat vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
BAU
2 - 1
SCH
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 0
SKS
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
REN
2 - 2
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
DON
1 - 3
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 1
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SKN
0 - 4
SCA
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
SCA
2 - 1
GKN
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
WIN
5 - 0
SCA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
SCA
0 - 2
ALT
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2009 |
SCA
1 - 0
AUS
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |