Schwechat vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
STR
9%
19%
72%
|
33 | 77 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
OST
0 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
37%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
3 - 3
MAT
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 0
SCH
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 1
OBE
63%
21%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
SIM
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OST
1 - 2
PAR
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
RIT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
MAT
2 - 3
PAR
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 4
SCR
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |