Schwechat vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
RAP
29%
25%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
0 - 0
SCH
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 1
OST
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAT
4 - 1
SCH
64%
20%
15%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
RIT
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
1 - 3
ADM
34%
25%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
RAP
0 - 2
BAU
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
BAU
0 - 2
WIE
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
FAC
4 - 1
BAU
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SCF
1 - 4
BAU
67%
19%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |