Schwechat vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
WIE
2 - 0
SCH
81%
14%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 3
ZWE
45%
27%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
WUR
4 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
EIS
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
FCW
1 - 2
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
BAU
1 - 3
RAP
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
WIE
1 - 1
BAU
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
BAU
1 - 3
MAT
28%
24%
47%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
ZWE
3 - 1
BAU
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Jun. 2007 |
BAU
2 - 2
RIT
66%
20%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |