Schwechat vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 3
WIE
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SKN
3 - 0
SCH
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
PAR
16%
23%
61%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
WUR
1 - 3
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
3 - 3
WUR
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
RAP
0 - 0
BAU
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
EIS
40%
24%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
KRE
5 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
BAU
0 - 5
EIS
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |