Schwaz vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
75.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 0
SCR
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
SEE
0 - 1
SCH
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 3
KUF
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
STJ
0 - 3
SCH
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SCH
3 - 1
WAL
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 0
MTA
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
PAR
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
AUS
1 - 2
STR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
SKN
1 - 0
STR
27%
24%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
STR
1 - 2
WIE
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |