Schwaz vs Mötz / Silz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
6º
4º
44
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 1
SCH
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 9
LAS
9%
16%
75%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 6
BOT
12%
20%
69%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ADM
1 - 4
SCH
19%
23%
59%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
SCH
4 - 2
HOH
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 0
WAT
26%
20%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 1
FCV
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
6 - 0
FCK
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
EBB
3 - 0
MOT
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 0
MOT
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |