Schwaz vs Hohenems analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
WOR
2 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 1
IMS
47%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
IMS
1 - 1
SCH
43%
23%
34%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
KUF
1 - 1
SCH
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 3
SCH
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hohenems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
LAU
2 - 4
HOH
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HOH
4 - 1
ROT
86%
9%
5%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HOH
3 - 3
SWB
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
HOH
2 - 1
ROT
71%
15%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 1
HOH
29%
21%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |