Schwaz vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 3
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
STJ
3 - 0
SCH
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
ANI
15%
19%
67%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
SCR
0 - 1
SCH
51%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 2
KIT
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
ANI
6%
13%
82%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SCR
6 - 0
HAR
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 2
KIT
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 4
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
HAR
1 - 1
KUF
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |