Schwaz vs Dornbirn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
12º
16º
12º
28
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 70 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 61 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
45% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 51 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 45 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 39 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 33 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 21 |
14º
|
38.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 21 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 16 |
16º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
SVA
17%
21%
63%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ROT
0 - 1
SCH
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
3 - 0
KIT
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IMS
4 - 0
SCH
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PIN
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Dornbirn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 2
WAL
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SVA
0 - 2
DOR
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 3
ROT
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KIT
1 - 3
DOR
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
IMS
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |