Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
ERK
2 - 1
SWE
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 0
WOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ERK
2 - 2
SWE
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
SWE
2 - 0
ARG
75%
17%
9%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
SCO
2 - 1
SWE
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
WAT
2 - 2
OWI
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1974 |
STP
1 - 3
WAT
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
WAT
6 - 3
VIK
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
ROT
1 - 0
WAT
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
KFC
2 - 3
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |