Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
OWI
5 - 2
SWE
53%
25%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SWE
1 - 1
STP
26%
23%
51%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
DJK
3 - 1
SWE
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
SWE
2 - 0
WAT
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
ERK
2 - 1
SWE
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1974 |
WAT
2 - 1
WAB
49%
24%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
KFC
1 - 0
WAT
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1974 |
WAT
3 - 2
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
SWE
2 - 0
WAT
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1974 |
WAT
2 - 2
OWI
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |