Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
SWE
0 - 4
SPO
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SWE
5 - 0
RWA
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 2
SWE
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 3
SWE
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 3
VFB
51%
25%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
VIK
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
VFB
1 - 4
VIK
17%
22%
62%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 6
VIK
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 0
BER
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
HUL
2 - 2
VIK
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |