Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ADL
0 - 1
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 2
WUP
37%
25%
37%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
BFR
2 - 1
SWE
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
SWE
0 - 3
DIE
29%
26%
46%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 1
MSV
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VIK
1 - 0
BOR
38%
27%
34%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
AAA
4 - 0
VIK
42%
24%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
VIK
0 - 4
WUP
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
ADL
2 - 0
VIK
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
DIE
0 - 1
VIK
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |