Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
FCR
2 - 0
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
JDH
1 - 4
SWE
18%
23%
59%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1999 |
SWE
3 - 0
STR
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
DIE
3 - 1
SWE
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1999 |
SWE
4 - 0
BSC
50%
25%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
VIK
3 - 2
WUP
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
VIK
4 - 2
TUS
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1999 |
VIK
1 - 2
ROT
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
FCB
1 - 4
VIK
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 1
VIK
33%
24%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |