Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
VFB
0 - 3
SWE
21%
23%
55%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SWE
4 - 0
SCH
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
WER
0 - 2
SWE
46%
23%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BER
1 - 2
SWE
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SWE
4 - 2
HUL
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
SPO
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DOR
6 - 0
SPE
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RWA
1 - 0
SPE
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 3
VFB
69%
18%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 4
SPE
52%
23%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |