Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
DUS
1 - 0
SWE
15%
19%
65%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 1
JDH
46%
23%
32%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
3 - 3
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SWE
3 - 0
SPE
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SWE
2 - 3
VEL
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
VFB
3 - 0
STR
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TSG
0 - 8
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 3
VFB
15%
19%
66%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VFB
1 - 1
HIL
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 1
VFB
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |