Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 2
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HUL
4 - 1
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SWE
4 - 3
KFC
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 1
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 1
ERN
66%
20%
14%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VFB
0 - 2
SPO
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 1
SPE
39%
25%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VFB
1 - 0
RWA
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
3 - 1
VFB
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VFB
3 - 1
BER
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |