Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
DUS
1 - 0
SWE
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 1
AAA
68%
20%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
WUP
0 - 3
SWE
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
1 - 0
BAY
23%
24%
53%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
GEW
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VFB
3 - 1
KFC
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
BER
3 - 1
VFB
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
1 - 0
BSC
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BOR
4 - 1
VFB
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 0
SPE
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |