Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BSC
3 - 1
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
SWE
7 - 2
MSV
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 1
SWE
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SWE
1 - 1
USO
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
3 - 2
SWE
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
VFB
1 - 0
WEG
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DUR
3 - 3
VFB
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VFB
4 - 2
FCB
44%
24%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VFB
0 - 2
BOR
23%
24%
53%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
VFB
0 - 5
KLE
34%
25%
42%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |