Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
61.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SON
2 - 0
SWE
37%
23%
40%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SWE
4 - 0
BOS
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +3 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
HIL
2 - 4
SWE
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NIE
1 - 3
SWE
33%
24%
44%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 1
RWO
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
WUP
3 - 3
VEL
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VEL
5 - 0
VFB
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VEL
4 - 1
HNI
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
KFI
0 - 4
VEL
32%
21%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |