Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DUS
1 - 2
SWE
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SWE
5 - 1
YUK
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FCJ
3 - 0
SWE
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -3 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BSC
1 - 2
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 1
BSC
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 2
VEL
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 1
FCB
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BFR
0 - 2
VEL
23%
22%
56%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VEL
1 - 0
WUP
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |