Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Biemenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
12º
5º
6
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 75 |
1º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 62 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 54 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 54 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 45 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 45 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 42 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 40 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 36 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
16º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 31 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 21 |
18º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TDV
1 - 1
SWE
21%
23%
57%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WER
2 - 1
SWE
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SWE
6 - 0
DAK
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SWE
0 - 1
LIP
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SWE
3 - 0
TUH
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Biemenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 1
1FC
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 1
FCL
76%
13%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 2
SVB
39%
21%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SVB
3 - 2
ERE
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
HNI
0 - 11
SVB
9%
15%
77%
|
36 | 6 | 30 | +1 |