Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HUL
3 - 1
SWE
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
1 - 4
BER
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
WIE
74%
16%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 4
SWE
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 1
MSV
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 1
ESS
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KLE
0 - 3
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
WHE
2 - 2
SPO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
GEW
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GUT
3 - 2
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |