Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Rot-Weiß Lüdenscheid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1977 |
KOL
9 - 0
SWE
93%
5%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 2
LEV
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
OSC
2 - 1
SWE
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
WHE
0 - 1
SWE
70%
16%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Lüdenscheid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
HAN
2 - 1
RWL
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
RWL
1 - 1
PRE
22%
23%
54%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
USO
3 - 1
RWL
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1977 |
RWL
2 - 1
TEN
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1977 |
OSN
2 - 0
RWL
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |