Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
SWE
1 - 1
BVB
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
OSN
6 - 0
SWE
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
AAA
8 - 1
SWE
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 1974 |
SWE
5 - 0
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SWE
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PRE
4 - 0
FCM
59%
20%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1974 |
PRE
2 - 1
OWI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
STP
1 - 1
PRE
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
PRE
3 - 3
DJK
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
WAT
4 - 0
PRE
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |