Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs Mülheimer FC 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
6º
37
9º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
0 - 0
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 4
SWE
8%
13%
78%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
MEE
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SON
1 - 0
SWE
29%
22%
50%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 0
NET
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DJK
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 3
MFC
71%
15%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
SON
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NET
2 - 1
MFC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
HIL
10%
17%
73%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |