Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 0
RWO
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
JDH
4 - 0
SWE
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
SWE
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 1
KAP
62%
20%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
SWE
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
MSV
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 4
KÖL
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
DIE
9 - 0
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 3
VER
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 0
MSV
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |