Schwarz-Weiss Essen vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
AAA
0 - 1
SWE
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SWE
1 - 1
USO
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SPE
3 - 2
SWE
18%
21%
61%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
KFC
2 - 0
SWE
71%
19%
11%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
SWE
3 - 2
VEL
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
4 - 3
WEG
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 2
MSV
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MSV
2 - 2
FCB
41%
26%
33%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MSV
1 - 3
BOR
23%
26%
52%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
VFB
1 - 1
MSV
59%
20%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |